‘The Gambler’ is a brand new TF feature, reviewing the odds for the new Premier League season ahead. TF editor Rob B reviews what chances the bookies think MUFC have against the rest of the pack, and who will win this years Golden Boot’
Oh Sergio Aguero.
It still runs through my head. How close we came to title twenty. You could be the greatest gambler in the whole wide world, and there is no way you could have put money on…and predicted how that title run in…how that last five minutes of the season…would go.
Since the advent of Twitter and the chit-chat about betting odds that happens on the platform, ive keenly kept my eyes on a number of sports betting sites …trying to spot a bargain price or three to share with fellow tweeters. Normally I keep my money well away from United. The odds never really add up. The value is always elsewhere.
But that’s about to change…
United and City were separated by a last minute winner last year, but the bookies see a much bigger gulf. Currently City are the favs. No shock there. They sit at around 5/4 and this is probably about right. United however are a massive (well not massive) 9/4…over double your money profit? On Manchester United to win the league? Wow! This probably also reflects the lack of early money on United. The blue half of Manchester will already have piled their pennies on their team after their dream season (the one where they won the league three times and nearly handed it back into United’s laps on every occasion)
Chelsea also look like some early value. At 9/2 with the addition of Eden Hazard and no doubt a cast of many new faces, a tenner on them will net you a near on fifty quid profit. Currently Arsenal lie at twelves, and both Tottenham and Liverpool are oddly tied on twenty-fives…like LFC are anywhere near as good as Spurs! Scousers must be betting with their hearts again…twenty years of securing those early odds for nothing!
The top goalscorer odds are also interesting for the speculative punter. A swift £5 bet can go a long way. Aguero, Rooney and Van Persie are all tied at eights. Obviously, this is an impossible market to predict with much skill, but you can bet that any of those three will be there, or there abouts. What about some outsiders? Tevez is currently 14/1…not bad value at all, as long as he doesn’t fancy some golf. Or maybe scuttling off to Italy. Or chasing new money in Brazil. My outside tips are Darren Bent and Andy Carroll. Both a tasty 25/1. Villa and Liverpool could both have stinkers (again) but these two could still get their goals, if they hit form and avoid injury. Jermaine Defoe is a huge 40/1…for a player who used to be a goal machine. One player I am looking forward to see this season is West Ham’s Vaz Te. He is at 125/1…probably about right. No thanks.
Me? I will be stacking my chips on Sergio Aguero. I wonder if United’s goal distribution will be spread more evenly from Rooney, to Kagawa, Chico and Welbeck (Welbs is at 25/1 to be top scorer in the PL) Also, Van Persie….? Who knows where he will be? Not Arsenal I suspect. United look great value at those odds quoted above. I wonder if there will be even more of a drift if City unveil a stellar signing? (cough cough Van Persie cough) So it may be worth holding off just a few more Olympic Game sized weeks to squeeze an even better price out of the bookies.
We want our trophy back. Dont bet against United just yet.